Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if before the resolution time of this market of January 1, 2023, 12 AM ET, Donald John Trump or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any informal declarations by Donald Trump and/or his representatives regarding Trump's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website https://www.fec.gov/ though a consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.