Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d | Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,592 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 500d | G122 | Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | +$174 +10% | 4 |
| 500d | yyyyyyy | Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$165 +14% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly refers to Elon Musk using a new derogatory, mocking, or diminutive nickname (e.g., similar in style to “Ron DeSanctimonious” or “Sleepy Joe”) between June 9 and June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The nickname must be distinct from Elon’s real name, and clearly intended as a moniker, not a one-off insult or generic descriptor (e.g., calling Elon "a loser" or "pathetic" alone would not qualify). Note: Trump referring to Elon as “the man who has lost his mind” as he did on June 6, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.