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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d |  DEGENKHAN | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,892 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 486d | Hungry-Helmet | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$24 −2.3% | — |
| 487d | siriyskee | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$19 −1.8% | — |
| 489d | Masturbator | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | −$45 −3.3% | — |
| 489d | siriyskee | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$27 +2.5% | 4 |
| 491d | ourdemocracy | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$21 +2.1% | 4 |
| 491d | InspectorRoyale | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,761 | +$85 +3.1% | 4 |
| 491d |  lil-uzi-squirt | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$39 +3.2% | 4 |
| 493d | wubddh | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$89 +4.6% | 4 |
| 496d | bett0r12 fills | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,671 | +$917 +34% | 4 |
| 496d | Enchanted-VirtueNew account | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,054 | −$1,054 −100% | 19 |
| 497d | kasir38 | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | −$1,227 −100% | 5 |
| 497d | Breezy-Entrance | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,703 | +$804 +30% | 4 |
| 498d | HLB-377 | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$298 +23% | 4 |
| 499d | Masturbator | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$481 +41% | 4 |
| 500d | Ideal | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$529 +32% | 4 |
| 500d | denizz | Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | −$570 −33% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.