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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −25 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 381d | pikki622 | Will Drake release an album by October 24? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$48 +4.8% | 20 |
Drake’s birthday is on October 24, a date he often references in his music and occasionally aligns with major releases. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases a new album by October 24, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is made officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) before that date. The resolution source will be any official Drake streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.