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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · 7¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d |  AgricultureSecretary | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,051 | +$416 +14% | 4 |
| 717d |  pocahontasporker | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 717d |  50Whence2 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,174 | +$493 +12% | 5 |
| 717d | TexMexTRex3 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $7,512 | −$1,488 −20% | — |
| 717d |  scottilicious10 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $41,254 | +$8,895 +22% | 4 |
| 718d | FeathersTogether2 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $65,000 | +$17,057 +26% | 5 |
| 718d | xazibar2 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$698 +23% | 5 |
| 721d | DumbMoney2.04 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $8,363 | +$1,877 +22% | 4 |
| 721d |  Highboard | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | −$483 −28% | — |
| 722d | Nobody23041 | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$330 −28% | — |
| 724d | Whispered-City | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,598 | +$1,598 +100% | — |
| 726d |  itsgg | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,266 | +$1,317 +31% | 4 |
| 727d | DumbMoney2.02 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $7,081 | −$2,229 −31% | — |
| 728d | TexMexTRex2 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $13,285 | +$2,923 +22% | 4 |
| 729d |  TheGuru-7914 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $13,121 | −$13,121 −100% | 19 |
| 733d | Whispered-City | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,440 | −$914 −27% | — |
| 735d | AntiMAGA | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,100 +22% | 4 |
| 741d | Nobody230414 fills | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $7,567 | +$1,425 +19% | 4 |
| 742d | AnonymousUsername | Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 6 |
WebbyVanderhack100 sharesDuring the 2020 Presidential election the Democratic party lost Florida and Texas and the Republican party lost Minnesota and New Hampshire. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of those states flip, namely if either the Democratic Party wins Florida or Texas or if the Republican party wins Minnesota or New Hampshire in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.