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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246d |  Slowroasted2 fills | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,554 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 278d |  Imbafer2 fills | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | +$34 +0.9% | 4 |
| 341d | SkillzThatKillz | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$28 −2.4% | — |
| 380d |  How.Dare.You | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,884 | −$117 −1.7% | — |
| 597d | How.Dare.You2 fills | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,646 | +$971 +17% | 4 |
| 606d | SkillzThatKillz | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$168 +16% | 4 |
| 611d | yyyyyyy | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | −$344 −18% | — |
| 620d | 0x32d6758638b5c7634b43i5kl0342jwb8n2j676 | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $2,585 | +$2,585 +100% | — |
| 623d | 0x32d6758638b5c7634b43i5kl0342jwb8n2j676 | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,944 | −$1,944 −100% | 8 |
| 625d | yyyyyyy | Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | +$295 +18% | 4 |
In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 see (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 10% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,396,126,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.