Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119d | Lisbon3 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,570 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 122d | dogeenergy234 | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 128d | Ryan136510 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,155 | +$216 +1.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x0921…b7893 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,224 | +$77 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0xf5ec…d3c63 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x38a6…63873 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0xe480…d2e03 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x28d2…ca093 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0xe953…ef843 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x2db4…20d23 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x1e75…5d2d3 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x9823…d2073 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x240e…4c253 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x3574…6a253 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,239 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x726d…8a586 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,538 | +$62 +0.4% | 4 |
| 133d | 0xaab5…281f3 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,224 | +$77 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x33ba…10983 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,224 | +$77 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x51b4…23a63 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,224 | +$77 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x012f…22403 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,224 | +$77 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x3b49…7b453 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,224 | +$77 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0xee79…8eb03 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,224 | +$77 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0xc758…ad573 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $15,224 | +$77 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0xdbc7…c73f7 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $18,109 | +$91 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x6310…2ec17 fills | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo100¢ | $18,109 | +$91 +0.5% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x6310…2ec1 | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | SellNo100¢ | $2,587 | −$13 −0.5% | — |
| 148d | bearbees2 | Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$21 +1.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity, will be, has been, or is entering into an agreement to acquire OnlyFans (or its parent company) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in OnlyFans (or its parent company) by Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition by Elon Musk, OnlyFans, or their parent entities will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition actually occurs. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Elon Musk; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify only if the transaction results in a controlling interest as defined above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk and/or OnlyFans, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.