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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 827d | professorx | Will Elon Musk speak at the RNC today? | BuyNo>99¢ | $99,800 | +$200 +0.2% | 4 |
| 827d |  Car | Will Elon Musk speak at the RNC today? | SellNo100¢ | $1,068 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 827d |  BettorBeware | Will Elon Musk speak at the RNC today? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Elon Musk will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech to an RNC crowd on-stage at the convention. Simply appearing on-stage at the convention will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.