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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620d |  OneBadBet | Will Elon reach #1 in Path of Exile 2 before March? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$55 +4.7% | 4 |
Elon Musk is presently playing Path of Exile 2 under the name of Fatalismftw. He is currently ranked #3 on the Hardcore League leaderboard: https://pathofexile2.com/ladder/Hardcore This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fatalismftw reaches #1 on the Path of Exile 2 Hardcore League leaderboard by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable before this market's expiration date, and Elon Musk has not yet reached the #1 rank, this market will resolve to "No". If the Fatalismftw character dies before this market's end date, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the above described leaderboard: https://pathofexile2.com/ladder/Hardcore.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.