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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 678d | schwitzer | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 678d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead3 fills | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,821 | +$66 +0.3% | 4 |
| 678d |  noreasapa3 fills | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,838 | −$424 −2.9% | — |
| 678d | Rozits13 | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,649 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 678d | noreasapa2 fills | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,036 | +$387 +3.2% | 4 |
| 678d | Rozits13 | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$75 +4.7% | 4 |
| 678d | Hyundai | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | +$30 +2.3% | 4 |
| 678d | Caligulas.dog | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,418 | +$46 +1.3% | 4 |
| 678d |  Master-bettor | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,122 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 679d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Will Elon respond to OpenAI today? | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,748 | −$1,748 −100% | 7 |
On December 13, OpenAI posted a statement claiming that Elon Musk wanted the company to become a for-profit and "demanded majority equity, absolute control, and to be CEO" (see: https://openai.com/index/elon-musk-wanted-an-openai-for-profit/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk makes any public statement (including X posts) addressing the OpenAi statement by December 13, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Replies that Elon Musk makes to posts commenting on the situation will count, even if they are short (e.g. saying "Yes" to a post about OpenAI's statement will count). The primary resolution source for this market will be statements from Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.