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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601d | elkamello | Will Elon x Rogan get more than 3 million views on day 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,067 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 601d |  dududududu | Will Elon x Rogan get more than 3 million views on day 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,671 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | polyfabian | Will Elon x Rogan get more than 3 million views on day 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,715 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | SweetChariot | Will Elon x Rogan get more than 3 million views on day 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,114 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d |  noreasapa | Will Elon x Rogan get more than 3 million views on day 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,134 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 602d | elkamello | Will Elon x Rogan get more than 3 million views on day 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$70 +2.3% | 5 |
On February 28, 2025 Joe Rogan posted episode #2281 featuring Elon Musk (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sSOxPJD-VNo&ab_channel=PowerfulJRE). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the YouTube video has over 3,000,000 views as of March 1, 2025 1:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the video is deleted before March 1, 2025 1:00 PM ET, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source for this market is youtube.com/@joerogan, specifically the 'views' counter for episode #2281. Note: This market refers to the full episode #2281 with Elon Musk. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.