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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451d |  MisTKy32 fills | Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,553 | −$451 −6.9% | — |
| 470d | MisTKy33 fills | Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,279 | +$404 +6.4% | 4 |
| 477d |  robustassistant | Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$24 +1.8% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any law is singed into effect that repeals, alters, or extends presidential term limits in a way that would allow Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to serve more than two terms, or if Turkey’s Constitutional Court or another court with binding authority issues a ruling that permits a president to serve more than two terms, by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM local time in Turkey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.