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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194d |  Cungly | Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,323 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 194d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,420 | +$482 +6.5% | 10 |
| 195d |  DonnieBannon | Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$236 +23% | 10 |
tetrose8,942 shares
dsa555op200 shares
bjprolo30 shares
MakingTheMarket20 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.