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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $140 | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $143 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $134 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $135 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $142 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $144 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $138 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $145 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $133 | 0% | −35 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $132 | 0% | −39 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $141 | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $136 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $139 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $137 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189d |  CoinTrick | ↓ $134 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,143 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 193d |  OraculumNobius | ↑ $140 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $140 means the market gives it about 100%.