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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 0% | +6 pts | +10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 14 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | −5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | Athletic-Manager | April 30 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$155 +7.8% | 4 |
| 187d | Suburban-Spree | April 30 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$150 +11% | 4 |
| 196d | AnthonyBeasley5530 | April 30 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$133 +12% | 4 |
| 199d | 27781 | April 30 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$257 +23% | 4 |
| 200d |  Parz1vaI | April 30 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$262 +25% | 4 |
| 206d | Rapid-Lay | March 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,480 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | theoracal2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,975 | +$44 +0.9% | 4 |
| 212d | Trivial-Gigantism | March 31 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | −$75 −6.5% | — |
| 219d | controls | March 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$180 +18% | 4 |
| 225d | Parz1vaI4 fills | March 31 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,497 | +$1,199 +22% | 4 |
| 225d |  49023809234904 | March 31 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | −$135 −11% | — |
| 226d | Athletic-Manager | March 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$169 +8.5% | 5 |
| 233d | Trivial-Gigantism | March 31 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$321 +19% | 4 |
| 237d | Parz1vaI | February 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,520 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 238d | 49023809234904 | February 28 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 251d | wizwot | February 14 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,365 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 251d | 0x11981FC3 | February 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,794 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 252d | Our-Subexpression | February 28 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$109 −11% | — |
| 252d | Our-Subexpression | February 14 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 253d | Parz1vaI2 fills | February 14 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,272 | −$189 −4.4% | — |
| 255d | Wowiwow | February 14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$17 +1.4% | 4 |
| 257d | Parz1vaI2 fills | February 14 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,675 | +$137 +5.1% | 4 |
| 267d | discombobulated-chicken | February 14 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,912 | +$88 +4.6% | 4 |
| 268d | Our-SubexpressionNew account | March 31 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$252 +25% | 14 |
APOPEZ3,531 shares
RadarMentions1,258 shares
Bergman7771,200 shares
e7a6cb0f-2f46-4410-bc38-76663a6077021,000 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 0%.