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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 100% | +81 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +54 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | wintermornings | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,416 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | Trustinghorse | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 170d | Suburban-Spree | May 31 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,109 | +$348 +17% | 4 |
0.6767672,000 shares
stephenwolf691,085 shares
Didrick128 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 100%.