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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the German federal government officially declares a state of emergency ("Notstand" under the German Basic Law) at any point between February 12, 2025, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only nationwide, federal states of emergency will count toward the resolution of this market. Partial or regional emergency measures will not. The resolution source will be official German government announcements and credible news reports.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.