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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 560d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,545 | +$27 +0.8% | 10 |
| 560d |  bosshog | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,703 | +$30 +0.6% | 10 |
| 566d |  100Gwei | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 570d | CrashOverride953 fills | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,336 | +$250 +3.0% | 10 |
| 625d |  just.some.guy | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$310 −26% | — |
Early in January 2025, Greenland's prime minister intimated there would be a referendum on independence from Denmark. You can read more about that here: https://www.politico.eu/article/greenland-prime-minister-mute-egede-independence-denmark-colonialism-donald-trump-arctic/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if: 1) A referendum on Greenland's independence from Denmark is scheduled for any point within 2025, by April 6 2025 ET. 2) That referendum passes by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Greenland's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Denmark will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Greenland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.