Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824d | Will Hakeem Jeffries call on Biden to drop out by July 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 824d | Will Hakeem Jeffries call on Biden to drop out by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,800 | +$200 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 825d | Will Hakeem Jeffries call on Biden to drop out by July 31? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | +$344 +16% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race by July 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hakeem Jeffries or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.