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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308d | abuzzin | Will India invade Pakistan in 2025? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,294 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 330d |  Everlasting-Gobstopper | Will India invade Pakistan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,704 | +$176 +3.1% | 20 |
| 341d |  Car5 fills | Will India invade Pakistan in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,001 | +$946 +11% | 20 |
| 352d | 854A7843 | Will India invade Pakistan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,818 | +$180 +3.1% | 20 |
| 365d | PNGNPLAA | Will India invade Pakistan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,717 | +$55 +3.2% | 20 |
| 461d | 1.3m | Will India invade Pakistan in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | −$74 −5.3% | — |
| 461d | 1.3m | Will India invade Pakistan in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$59 +4.2% | 20 |
Nilay108301 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if India commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Pakistan between May 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by India or Pakistan as of April 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by India, Pakistan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.