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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522d | Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$17 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 528d | denizz | Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,136 | −$64 −2.0% | — |
| 538d | CrashOverride952 fills | Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,505 | +$105 +4.2% | 4 |
| 550d | lowrisk2 | Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$45 +4.2% | 4 |
| 563d | MojAlaki | Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$88 −7.5% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran enriches uranium to 90% purity or higher by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from the IAEA or announcements from the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.