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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 448d | rwo | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,285 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 448d |  DDDASHEE | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 452d |  Mr-Krabs | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | −$18 −1.3% | — |
| 473d | denizz | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | −$62 −3.2% | — |
| 481d | HanSolo242 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$312 +12% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by July 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.