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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 373d | MojAlaki | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$91 −8.7% | — |
| 373d |  MisTKy33 fills | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,312 | +$451 +10% | 4 |
| 379d | abuzzin | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$96 +8.7% | 4 |
| 380d | denizz | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$142 +10.0% | 4 |
| 381d | Choroo | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | −$188 −12% | — |
FounderFrog1,451 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.