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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 478d |  Alphax | Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 480d | Alphax | Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,009 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 574d |  MisTKy3 | Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$67 +6.4% | 4 |
| 620d | denizz | Will Israel annex Lebanese territory before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$88 −8.7% | — |
TheCondor132950 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any Lebanese territory between January 4 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over Lebanese territory they had not previously claimed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.