Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 763d | Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,465 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 763d | Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,847 | −$6 −0.3% | — | |
| 763d | Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,025 | +$30 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 763d | Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,227 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 763d | Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 763d | ssxeet | Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,799 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 764d | okcoolstorybro | Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel explicitly claims responsibility for the pager explosions in Lebanon and Syria that occurred on September 17, 2024, by September 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the Israeli government, military, or intelligence services. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.