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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1088d | ky2349 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,613 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1088d |  ANudeEgg2 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,713 | −$107 −0.6% | — |
| 1088d | Argh | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,698 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1088d |  Ferguson0500Turd | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,220 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1088d | chilling | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,453 | +$38 +0.1% | 20 |
| 1088d |  VibesGreaterRules2 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,044 | +$31 +0.1% | 20 |
| 1089d |  Anjun2 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,233 | +$22 +0.3% | 20 |
| 1089d | Ferguson0500Turd5 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $10,953 | +$3,545 +32% | 22 |
| 1089d | Chad-Wasp | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,387 | +$13 +0.3% | 20 |
| 1090d |  50Whence3 fills | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,715 | +$108 +2.9% | 20 |
| 1091d |  aenews-915 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | +$147 +5.3% | 21 |
| 1092d | Addicted | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | +$472 +25% | 21 |
| 1093d | W]$_u45HU6^ | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,305 | −$1,305 −100% | 22 |
| 1093d | 50Whence | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | SellYes29¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | −$3,528 −240% | — |
| 1093d | Addicted | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,944 | −$1,944 −100% | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (UTC +3), Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza. A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 31. If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.