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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454d | Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,754 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 454d | Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 454d | Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | +$188 +12% | 6 | |
| 454d | Ram19 | Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$89 +7.4% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board the vessel Handala, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers, by July 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.