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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503d |  bigmoneyloser00 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 503d | Ordon | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 503d | nostradamus-markets2 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,835 | +$26 +0.2% | 4 |
| 503d |  Emptiness. | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,136 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 503d |  arjennnnn2 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,322 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 503d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe35 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,629 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 504d |  Babar1952 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 504d | elPolloLoco | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,665 | −$53 −1.5% | — |
| 505d | Varil | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,057 | +$35 +0.9% | 4 |
| 505d | Idle-Republic | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,215 | +$105 +1.1% | 4 |
| 505d |  CoffeeLover | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$25 +1.4% | 4 |
| 505d | TigerK | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$22 +2.0% | 5 |
| 505d | Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc2 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,033 | +$174 +2.9% | 4 |
| 505d | elPolloLoco6 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $76,734 | +$2,836 +3.7% | 5 |
| 506d | XXXVI | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 5 |
| 506d | jaytee158 | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,251 | +$105 +4.7% | 5 |
| 506d |  Naichli2 fills | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,025 | +$373 +7.4% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, if by June 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.