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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 441d |  Dropper | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,397 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 441d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer32 fills | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,029 | +$38 +0.1% | 20 |
| 441d | LBZone4 fills | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,359 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 444d |  UwO | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,090 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 445d | 033033033 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $40,968 | +$41 +0.1% | 20 |
| 445d |  CoffeeLover | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 445d | pantomime | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 445d | kennard | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,293 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 445d | Snoorrason | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,027 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 445d | UwO2 fills | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,852 | +$244 +4.2% | 20 |
| 445d |  mr.ozi | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$53 +3.3% | 20 |
| 445d | kennard | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$79 +6.5% | 20 |
| 445d |  kejsldohen | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | −$56 −4.2% | — |
| 445d |  MisTKy36 fills | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $13,169 | +$811 +6.2% | 20 |
| 445d |  Debosnys | Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | +$67 +3.1% | 20 |
Nemziu20,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Bolsonaro is arrested between July 22 and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.