Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d |  FXC | Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | topsonrock | Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,896 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 317d | minisobaby3 fills | Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$322 +2.9% | 4 |
| 327d |  J3lcExePrd1KE5M | Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | +$40 +2.9% | 4 |
| 331d | iuoio | Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$170 +8.7% | 4 |
| 335d | Lolololol | Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$86 +6.6% | 4 |
donglai663,211 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi issues a public apology for her recent comments indicating that a Chinese attack on Taiwan could force a military response from Japan by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A public apology is defined as any statement expressing regret, acknowledging error, or retracting her comments which is released in a manner intended for public consumption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Sanae Takaichi; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.