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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337d | Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$35 +2.8% | 20 | |
| 376d | 0xTrinity | Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | −$69 −4.4% | — |
| 410d | pako2 fills | Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,041 | +$528 +5.8% | 20 |
| 461d | 0xTrinity | Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | +$72 +5.3% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vice President JD Vance announces that he is running for President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Vance must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for President" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by JD Vance (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.