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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 100% | +5 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | Flimsy-Fibre | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,758 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d | Weary-Duplexer | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d |  Cloverince | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 195d | Sloppydo2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,286 | +$38 +0.7% | 4 |
| 195d |  sqaolkytrpoi | April 30 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | −$39 −2.3% | — |
| 195d | SoftFlame05 | April 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 195d |  terrytrl101 | April 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 205d | zxc368 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 100%.