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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 822d | Skankfest2 fills | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by Wednesday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,916 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 822d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by Wednesday? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,030 | +$468 +9.3% | 6 | |
| 822d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by Wednesday? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,191 | +$11 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 822d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by Wednesday? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$299 +15% | 7 | |
| 822d | Will Joe Biden make an appearance by Wednesday? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$378 +18% | 7 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between July 22, 12:00 AM ET, and July 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public appearance includes for example Biden descending the steps from Air Force One, or an appearance at a press conference. A digital appearance must be verified as new, authentic footage (not AI-generated). For example, if Biden appears in a new prerecorded speech, this market will resolve to "Yes". Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.