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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +31 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 476d | Elevation | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,252 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 476d | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,080 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 476d | Chalasis | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,757 | −$23 −0.4% | — |
| 476d | morcatk0 | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,483 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 476d | Dretard | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,216 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 476d | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes>99¢ | $45,000 | +$46 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 476d | Supersenter | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 476d | Breezy-Entrance2 fills | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,610 | +$190 +1.8% | 4 |
| 476d | SaylorMoon | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$51 +3.1% | 4 |
| 476d | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $3,775 | +$3,537 +94% | 4 | |
| 476d | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,321 | −$1,321 −100% | 4 | |
| 476d | Pj71799 | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$564 +56% | 4 |
| 477d | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 | |
| 477d | Chalasis2 fills | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,318 | +$1,188 +36% | 4 |
| 478d | Supersenter | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$449 +37% | 11 |
| 479d | RevNorth2 fills | Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $17,670 | +$9,515 +54% | 9 |
This is a market on the amount of hot dogs that Joey Chestnut will eat at the 2025 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest, scheduled for July 4, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joey Chestnut eats more than 69.5 hot dogs at the Nathans Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2025 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is cancelled, postponed past July 4, or Joey Chestnut otherwise doesn't participate in the contest, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official results from Major League Eating (https://majorleagueeating.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.