Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The Attorney General's election integrity office has announced an investigation into election day voting disparities in Arizona. Several counties have refused to certify their results as an act of solidarity until a full inquiry is made into whether Republicans were disadvantaged on election day. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Arizona Secretary of State's official canvas certification for the 2022 Arizona election lists "Kari Lake" (Or: "Lake, Kari") as the individual who received the most "TOTAL" votes out of all general election gubernatorial candidates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official canvass certification shows an individual other than Kari Lake as having received the most votes, the market will immediately resolve to "No." If no official canvass is produced by 3/1/2023 then this market will resolve to 'No'. An example of a certified canvass for governor can be found here: https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/2018%201203%20Signed%20Official%20Statewide%20Canvass.pdf. Market resolution will require a file from the Arizona Secretary of State bearing at least an official signature from the current or acting governor of Arizona. See Page 14 and 15 of the PDF for an example.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.