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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249d | VGKAKAXI | Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 250d | VGKAKAXI | Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | llh | Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,483 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 256d | th22 fills | Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,271 | +$86 +2.6% | 4 |
shaonianyou.500 shares
fwed33219 sharesThe Spring Festival Gala is a celebration of the Chinese New Year set to air on February 16, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Li Guyi performs at the Spring Festival Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Appearances during which Li Guyi does not perform will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If the Spring Festival Gala is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event or a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.