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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129d | Spielman | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,483 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | newbie77 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,061 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 129d |  yevhenry | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 129d | Alexantenars1 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,721 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 130d | EightTrigram-Kan | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 130d | ade0073 fills | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,549 | −$64 −1.4% | — |
| 130d | messixyz | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,458 | +$42 +1.2% | 4 |
| 131d | ade0072 fills | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,191 | +$157 +4.9% | 4 |
| 131d | ruzif | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,703 | −$47 −0.7% | — |
| 132d | Ben1123 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,070 | −$21 −0.5% | — |
| 132d | 30kProfitTill2k27 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 142d |  Robbb | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,518 | −$70 −4.6% | — |
| 143d | ruzif | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,545 | +$72 +1.1% | 4 |
| 147d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$41 +3.3% | 4 |
| 152d | suntori | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$130 +6.7% | 4 |
| 160d |  scottxia1988 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,622 | +$104 +6.4% | 4 |
| 166d | Spielman | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | +$115 +8.4% | 4 |
| 194d |  LaPulgaLeo2 fills | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,993 | −$691 −14% | — |
| 206d | tryingout1 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$91 +8.7% | 4 |
| 319d | LaPulgaLeo2 fills | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,097 | +$453 +11% | 4 |
LiterateDon78,196 sharesThe 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.