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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether Madison Cawthorn will win the Republican nomination for the 2022 election to the United States House of Representatives for North Carolina's Eleventh Congressional District (NC-11). The primary election is scheduled to take place on May 17, 2022. If Madison Cawthorn wins the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election is not made by November 8, 2022, this market will resolve to "No". Determination of the Republican nominee for the 2022 election for the NC-11 House seat will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, the final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.