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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 856d |  AWice2 fills | Martin Shkreli and GCR bet $1m on $DJT being real? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,534 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 857d |  Squee | Martin Shkreli and GCR bet $1m on $DJT being real? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | +$58 +2.6% | 2 |
| 857d |  kickstandhater | Martin Shkreli and GCR bet $1m on $DJT being real? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,231 | +$368 +8.7% | 2 |
On June 18, GCR (@GiganticRebirth) offered to bet Shkreli $100m on whether $DJT is real (see: https://x.com/GiganticRebirth/status/1803132945655538164) This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Martin Shkreli (@MartinShkreli) and GCR (@GiganticRebirth) confirm they have bet at least $1,000,000 by Friday, June 21, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". In order for the bet to be 'confirmed' Shkreli must place at least $1,000,000 in escrow. If it is publicly confirmed that either GCR or Martin Shkreli has payed out a bet to the other for $1,000,000 or more by the resolution date this market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from GCR or definitive evidence confirming either Shkreli has escrowed the funds or the bet has been paid out.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.