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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67d | BLAHBLAHBLAH-298 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BuyNo97¢ | $1,802 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | selador | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,743 | −$20 −1.1% | — |
| 113d | selador | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,135 | +$25 +2.2% | 2 |
| 119d | lonewolfcapital | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,587 | −$89 −5.6% | — |
| 216d | 0x2d84a7364d4e8d96bb4e403a0875ba26c455f04f | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $1,091 | +$99 +9.1% | 2 |
| 245d | lilmeechbmf | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $1,023 | +$106 +10% | 2 |
| 289d |  Makora2 fills | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $2,339 | −$170 −7.3% | — |
| 328d | redvinny4 fills | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SellNo82¢ → 97¢ | $23,290 | −$4,303 −18% | — |
| 339d | redvinny | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BuyNo89¢ → 97¢ | $26,176 | +$2,384 +9.1% | 2 |
pipishrimp2,032 shares
Wojtek1,670 shares
vacoolaaa1,705 shares
FATMAN1,479 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents MicroStrategy. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.