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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637d | Breezy-Entrance | Will Mitch McConnell vote against a Trump cabinet pick? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,558 | +$88 +1.6% | 20 |
| 646d |  Earningsss | Will Mitch McConnell vote against a Trump cabinet pick? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch McConnell votes NO in the first roll-call vote on confirmation for any Trump Cabinet nominee by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If all of Trump's Cabinet have been filled this market will resolve to "No". A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.