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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −51 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545d | Straight-GraspNew account | Will new pope be 70+ years old? | SellNo43¢ → 100¢ | $11,452 | −$15,180 −133% | — |
| 545d | Narqen | Will new pope be 70+ years old? | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $15,448 | −$15,448 −100% | 4 |
| 546d | Heryx | Will new pope be 70+ years old? | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $17,793 | +$17,793 +100% | — |
| 546d | Heryx | Will new pope be 70+ years old? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $18,730 | −$18,730 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first elected pope after Pope Francis is 70 years of age or older on the day of his election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.