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Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on whether Gavin Newsom, the current Governor of California, will win at least 54% of the vote in his recall election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 54% or greater vote 'No' on the question (titled 'Recall Question' on CA ballots) 'Shall GAVIN NEWSOM be recalled (removed) from the office of governor.' Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Officially reported votes and unrounded percentages will be used. Should the election be canceled or postponed, the market will be postponed until the new election date. Should there be no election by January 1st, 2022 then the market will resolve "No."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Yes means the market gives it about >99%.