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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 841d | PalletsOnly | Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,165 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 841d | OracleMachine | Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,838 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 841d | OracleMachine | Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$40 +2.2% | 10 |
| 842d |  scottilicious30 fills | Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $245,637 | +$12,677 +5.2% | 10 |
| 843d |  Reini18602 fills | Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,872 | +$169 +4.4% | 11 |
| 850d | Masteroso | Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,651 | −$449 −12% | — |
| 857d | Masteroso2 fills | Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,437 | +$669 +19% | 10 |
rousseauuu28,180 sharesAfter saying he would not, Nigel Farage announced plans to run with Reform UK in the 2024 UK general election scheduled for July 4. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nigel Farage is elected to the House of Commons in the 2024 UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.