Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +9 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | +1 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175d | d-flow | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,975 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 175d | dwdwdwdwwwdaa | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,921 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 175d | Noteagle2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,953 | +$24 +0.4% | 20 |
| 176d | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$35 +2.8% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if North West officially releases a new album between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.