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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
Oasis is scheduled to begin their concert tour "Oasis Live '25 Tour" on July 4, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Noel Gallagher or Liam Gallagher announce that they are leaving the band Oasis by July 3, 11:59 PM GMT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that either Noel or Liam has left the band will also suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.