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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 482d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Will Obama congratulate Mamdani by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,428 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama publicly congratulates Zohran Mamdani by June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A congratulatory message must clearly reference Mamdani, and express congratulations. Only announcements made directly by Barack Obama himself, or posts from Obama's official social media accounts will qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from Obama, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.