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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +17 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 439d | OkaneKasegu | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,696 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 439d |  betwick2 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,729 | +$44 +0.1% | 20 |
| 439d | beeply | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,597 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 439d |  scout | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,633 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 439d | Ma12mamP | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,335 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 439d |  BeneGesseritVoice2 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,437 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 439d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,554 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 439d | aikko | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,038 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 439d |  pusseh | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,096 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 439d |  fffffz | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,397 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 439d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,408 | −$18 −0.4% | — |
| 439d |  mISSyOUsOmUCH | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,820 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 439d | slight- | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,043 | +$51 +0.8% | 20 |
| 439d | Shimeji | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$34 +2.8% | 20 |
| 439d | Tremirorot | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | −$63 −2.9% | — |
| 439d |  DancingonMarshmellos | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$39 +3.7% | 20 |
| 439d |  TeemuPukki | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$52 +2.0% | 20 |
| 439d |  Rumpelstiltskin | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$131 +7.5% | 20 |
| 439d | beeply2 fills | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,415 | +$580 +13% | 20 |
| 440d | BrokenRectum | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$335 −29% | — |
| 443d |  kl1v | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | +$311 +25% | 20 |
| 459d | 0281 | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$849 +83% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases the weights of a reasoning model (e.g., o1, o3) or a large language model (LLM) that is as advanced as GPT-3 by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Multimodal models (e.g., DALL·E, vision-language models), speech or audio-based models (e.g., Whisper), specialized AI agents or reinforcement learning models (e.g., robotics, AlphaCode-like systems) or models that otherwise do not meet the listed criteria will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
