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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4.5 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by March 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. GPT-4.5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4.5, or is a successor to GPT-4 in the way that GPT-3.5 was a successor to GPT-3. Closed beta will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.