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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 651d | Hashbrown | Will Palisades wildfire spread to Beverly Hills by Sunday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$29 +2.9% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California spreads to Beverly Hills by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The fire will be considered to have spread to Beverly Hills if it spreads across Beverly Hills' official boundary (see: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5B4nWVhonyZM8yBW9) The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has spread to Beverly Hills may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.